I spent part of this morning in the company of a man who is a West of Scotland Catholic of Irish extraction - the bedrock of Labour's dominance in Scotland for over 50 years. He used to be a Labour fundraiser, has met and dined with all the present Cabinet ( and the ones that came before under Our Tone).
He resigned from the Party in 2006 over a number of matters, but largely because he felt that the Party in Scotland in particular was doing nothing for its people.
Having spent two years thinking about things ( he'd never be a conservatives despite sending his children to fee paying schools, living in a £1million house and being an all round wealthy person) he has decided to become an SNP supporter - and even put himself forward as a candidate for future elections.
If someone like him can change sides, then many hundreds of thousands more will over the next few years. As he says " It's time for a change. We won the fight in 1997, and the Westminster Government, despite being led by Scots, continued to use us as cannon-fodder. Now they've pissed it all away. They can't afford to do anything for us. Maybe the SNP will."
He has no fears of Scotland being on its own. " Within Europe, we would attract much more in funding than we get at the moment. We could easily be a haven from the strife and stress elsewhere in the UK and the world"
His prediction for the bye-election?
" Curran might just do it - but only because she's actually quite good. Or she might not - it's that close.
But at the general election, the SNP will definitely take it - along with many more seats. And in the Scottish Parliament next time round there will be a majority of SNP members."
Engies be warned.
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